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Commentary: On second thought, Tribe can’t take down Tigers

Until the last couple of weeks, I was picking the Indians to win the Central Division.

That might have been going out on a bit of a limb. To pick them after what has transpired as of late would be stepping out on a twig.

With a starting rotation of Ubaldo Jimenez, Justin Masterson, Fausto Carmona, Derek Lowe and Josh Tomlin, one had to at least concede there was a chance the Indians could unseat the Tigers in the Central.

After all, pitching wins games, right? And when you throw in one of the American League’s top bullpens over the past two years, Cleveland had plenty of it to contend with a Detroit team that had just lost key cog and former Indian Victor Martinez to a season-ending knee injury.

Who cares how bad the Indians’ offense was going to be? Pitching would keep them in the hunt against the depleted Tigers and the rest of their division rivals.

That was so two weeks ago.

Cleveland’s rotation no longer includes Carmona or Roberto Hernandez Heredia — whatever his name is — because the pitcher is being detained without a visa in the Dominican Republic after being arrested on false identity charges.

The now-31-year-old right-hander is not likely to make it to Goodyear, Ariz., for the start of spring training, and the Indians really don’t know when they can expect to see Carmona back on the mound in a Cleveland uniform.

Some would say, big deal. Carmona hasn’t come close to duplicating his 2007 close-to-Cy Young form and the Indians are better off without him and his off-field issues.

They would be wrong.

Carmona, who certainly has committed no heinous crime, might not be the pitcher he was in ’07 but, when healthy, he’s good for 30-plus starts — some of them quality ones.

And even if he is three years older than thought, Carmona isn’t exactly at the end of his career. There is the possibility he could rekindle the magic that made him one of the AL’s elite starting pitchers. Believe me, manager Manny Acta and the Indians were expecting big things from Carmona in 2012.

To fill the void for however long it might be, the Indians have to turn to Kevin Slowey, Jeanmar Gomez or David Huff — and that is a big deal.

It puts the rotation’s fifth spot in the hands of an unproven pitcher and more pressure on the rest of the starters to pick up the slack.

Still, the Carmona news was nothing in comparison to the bomb that got dropped on Progressive Field on Thursday, when it became official that three-time All-Star Prince Fielder was taking his talents to Detroit.

I mean, what are the odds. Detroit? Really, Prince? After being in Milwaukee for the past seven years, you would think the guy might want to go somewhere sunny, which would have taken every team in the Central Division out of the running.

So … just when the Indians, who certainly didn’t celebrate the injury to one of their most popular players back in the day, had gotten a reprieve from a top-shelf Tigers lineup, it got even better than projected with Fielder replacing Martinez. That means two of the AL’s most lethal weapons will be hitting in the middle of Detroit’s batting order in Fielder and Miguel Cabrera.

The Indians have been searching all offseason for a big bat at first base. They’ve been unsuccessful, and to make it sting a little more, they saw the biggest player on the free-agent market outside of Albert Pujols go to the defending division champ.

You could almost hear Tigers general manager Dave Dombrowski saying, “Not so fast, Indians.”

All of a sudden, Cleveland’s hopes of toppling the Tigers in 2012 don’t look nearly as bright.

The Indians are still in search of someone other than Matt LaPorta to open the season at first base and help strengthen an otherwise weak lineup that can’t just be carried by All-Star shortstop Asdrubal Cabrera and catcher Carlos Santana.

Who knows what Cleveland is going to get from Grady Sizemore and Travis Hafner, and Shin-Soo Choo is coming off a sour season that included injuries and a DUI arrest. Beyond that, there are no proven commodities in the lineup.

There’s still the bullpen, right? Well, bullpens are fickle by nature, so it wouldn’t be a surprise to see the relief corps take a step back after two sparkling seasons. I’m not saying that’s going to happen. Just don’t be shocked if it does.

Acta remained confident the Indians could still win the division as of Thursday, and general manager Chris Antonetti called the Indians a contender before the Carmona and Fielder news.

But let’s just say it’s a good thing MLB is considering adding another wild-card spot this season. The Indians are going to need it.

Contact Chris Assenheimer at 329-7136 or cassenheimer@chroniclet.com. Fan him on Facebook and follow him on Twitter.



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